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IJBESD: Jalan Riung Ampuh No. 3, Riung Bandung, Kota Bandung 40295, Jawa Barat, Indonesia
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Published By:
IJBESD: Jalan Riung Ampuh No. 3, Riung Bandung, Kota Bandung 40295, Jawa Barat, Indonesia
IJBESD Indexed By:
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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by Soon Hilderbrand (2024-09-15)
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The way to play the soccer market is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the real difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They are going to price up the sport in their own country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everybody thinks they know best on this subject and playing football online egos get within the way of sensible pricing. This really is very good news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they could very well have greater detailed comprehension of the comings and goings in their own countries they're relying on third parties to collate information on their own foreign counterparts.
One good starting place is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There's a tendency in punters to get patriotic in regards to events where the opposition are 'foreign'. The chances of the home team get talked up and the odds could get skewed within their favour as the burden of money is overly wagered within their direction.
Having said that the big bookmakers offer an early price, they are going to often advertise it within the national papers and also by and large stick to it. This means a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this were to happen the arb might be available for a considerable amount of time.
You can find always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick around the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they can be 'guessing' what the odds should be much like you and me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They may get it wrong and other firms can take a totally different view of the outcome of a game. A totally different view will only bring about a slight variation in the odds but this could be adequate to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. Also they can have quite profitable discrepancies. They will be covered by a range of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you'll be going to get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they're going to be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the contrary it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This is a fairly obscure area of betting and if someone was to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as many various type of sport and events as possible in order that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn't be a problem as numerous sports are great for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties will likely produce arbs and they are less very likely to attract attention to you and the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you decide to can't control regardless of if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning it's possible to be useful on your account. The point here is that not lots of individuals are interested within the lower European divisions and it may become clear that the betting pattern is a little unusual. This really is especially true if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a profitable area in soccer. Consider it. If a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he will be the teams star striker then this can substantially affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the very last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn't have happened, I don't know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the cash poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or might not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last second frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can act as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You may find injury news through among the many soccer websites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and are quick to offer any 'off the press' news. Slowly the bookmakers' prices will all change, but not all at the exact same time, only one by one so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one that wont change the old price will be the one that is about to and so could possibly be lost in the event that you are not quick.
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