Portfolio Performance Analysis with Jensen's Alpha Using Single Index Model and CAPM on IDX30 Stocks

Alim Jaizul Wahid, Jumadil Saputra

Abstract


This study aims to evaluate the formation of an optimal stock portfolio using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and Single Index Model (SIM) approaches, and to assess portfolio performance using Jensen's Alpha generated from stocks included in the IDX30 index during the period April 2024 to March 2025. This study uses a quantitative descriptive approach with a population of 30 IDX30 stocks. The methods applied include calculating stock returns and betas, as well as forming an optimal portfolio using the CAPM and SIM formulas. Portfolio performance is then measured by Jensen's Alpha. The results of the study show that based on CAPM, BRIS.JK and EMTK.JK stocks are worthy of being included in the optimal portfolio because they have a positive expected return and Jensen's Alpha that slightly outperforms the market. EMTK.JK also has a lower risk. Meanwhile, based on SIM, only BBCA.JK is included in the optimal portfolio because it meets the criteria for Excess Return to Beta (ERB) > cut-off rate (C^*), and shows a positive Jensen's Alpha. The conclusion of this study is that both models can identify superior performing stocks for the optimal portfolio in the period.

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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.1013

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