Based Stock Valuation Analysis on Fuzzy Logic for Investment Selection (Case Study: PT. XL Axiata Tbk. and PT. Telkom Indonesia Tbk.)

Maudy Afifah Audina, Dwi Susanti, Sukono Sukono

Abstract


The stock value of a company fluctuates with capital market conditions, requiring investors to consider various factors for precise investment decisions. Stock valuation determines the fair price of a company's stock, guiding buying and selling transactions. This research uses Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Price to Earnings (P/E), and Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) to ascertain fair stock prices, integrating results with Mamdani fuzzy logic to determine investment weights. The result of this research is that both EXCL and TLKM hold significant weight in the investment portfolio with TLKM has slightly higher stock weight than EXCL. This suggests TLKM offers more potential for profitable future investments. Investors can use these results in portfolio management for investment selection

Keywords


Investment; Stock Valuation; Fuzzy Logic

Full Text:

PDF

References


Alfadilla, J., & Dalam, W. (2023). Stock Valuation Using Discounted Cash Flow and Relative Valuation Methods. Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Applied Economics and Social Science. EAI. https://doi.org/10.4108/eai.5-10-2022.2325901

Koller, T., Goedhart, M., & Wessels, D. (2005). Valuation Measuring And Managing The Value Of Companies.

Kusumadewi, S., & Purnomo, H. (2013). Applications of Fuzzy Logic to Decision Support (2 ed.). Yogyakarta: Graha Ilmu.

Lestari, I. S. D., & Suryantini, N. P. S. (2019). The influence of CR, DER, ROA, and PER on share prices in pharmaceutical companies on the IDX. Udayana University Management E-Journal, 8(3), 1844–1871. https://doi.org/10.24843/EJMUNUD.2019.v08.i03.p24

Pradnyaningsih, N. W. A., & Suarjaya, A. A. G. (2022). The Influence of Company Fundamental Factors on Stock Returns. Udayana University Management E-Journal, 11(7), 1377–1396. https://doi.org/10.24843/EJMUNUD.2022.v11.i07.p06

Sasongko, A., & Tanujaya, E. (2020). Valuation Analysis of PT XYZ’s Initial Share Value Regarding the 2020 IPO Plan with Discounted Free Cash Flow and Relative Valuation Method. Makalah disajikan dalam Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference of Business, Accounting and Economics. Purwokerto: EAI. https://doi.org/10.4108/eai.5-8-2020.2301192

Sukono, et al. (2018). Analysis of stock investment selection based on CAPM using covariance and genetic algorithm approach. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 332, 012046. https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/332/1/012046




DOI: https://doi.org/10.46336/ijqrm.v5i2.673

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Maudy Afifah Audina, Dwi Susanti, Sukono Sukono

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Published By: 

IJQRM: Jalan Riung Ampuh No. 3, Riung Bandung, Kota Bandung 40295, Jawa Barat, Indonesia

 

IJQRM Indexed By: 

width= width= width= width= width= width= 

 


Lisensi Creative Commons Creation is distributed below Lisensi Creative Commons Atribusi 4.0 Internasional.


View My Stats